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What’s next after the stock markets mini correction?

Under most circumstances, what goes down must at some point go up and what goes up must eventually go down. At the moment the major US stock markets are stabilizing after a minor correction to lower grounds. Today traders’ attention turns to the Fed’s meeting, as the event can determine the economic status of the US economy, along with the FOMC’s views on tapering its QE program. This event can change the market’s mood and possibly move the markets extensively. However, in this report we will overview some important stock movers from the previous daily sessions while at the end one of them will be selected for technical analysis.

Tesla wins with SpaceX

Tesla Inc. (#TSLA) gained +1.26% during the normal trading session on Tuesday and climbed to $739.38. At the moment Tesla is up +4.78% on a year to date basis and its 52 week range is between $351.30 and $900.40. In the past days, Elon Musk’s SpaceX performed a three-day trip with space tourists into orbit. This was a fully automated mission with a four-person crew which circled in low-earth orbit at a maximum height of 367 miles. We must note the crew were not professional astronauts while the designated pilot of the spacecraft was Sian Proctor a female American geology professor. This is humanity’s first steps towards space tourism, yet the specific flight had far exceeded the time spent in orbit compared to other flights that also took place in 2021 with people attendance. At the moment, Musk’s SpaceX is in head to head competition with Amazon’s Jeff Bezos and Virgin Galactic’s Richard Branson which had also performed successful flights previously at lower altitudes however. In addition, SpaceX Inspiration4 performed various experiments at a relatively high altitude making the event a mission. In our opinion, the news tends to be very optimistic for future tourist space travel flights. The company has also shown its resilience and ability to deliver difficult and challenging tasks, which makes it eligible to take on greater missions in the near future.

Disney falls back on content concerns

Walt Disney Company (#DIS) was among the top losers on Tuesday leaving behind -4.17% closing the session at $171.17. At the moment Disney is down -5.52% on a year to date basis and its 52 week range is between $117.23 and $203.02. Disney’s parks and 인트로듀싱 브로커 theatres are still facing some business disturbance with shutdowns from the pandemic not allowing for public attendance. On the contrary, its online streaming business Disney+, seems to be flourishing as it grew to 116 million subscribers during the past summer. Yet the pandemic is now affecting the production of some of Disney’s material for its online video business, which have forced the company’s Chief Executive Officer Bob Chapek to make some clarifying statements. Very simply, the platforms content may be smaller in the final quarter of 2021 due to difficulties in production. As noted the platform remains Disney’s most lucrative sector of business at the moment. The news is rather pessimistic and competition from Netflix (#NFLX), Apple TV (#AAPL), or even Amazon Prime Video (#AMZN) could be catching up. Disney’s overall outlook in terms of subscriber growth remains strong, as it is expected to gradually increase in accordance to the data obtained so far. However, the news seems to be worrying for investors in the short term, as the company must protect its strongest sector at this critical stage.

Nike to release earnings report on the 23 rd of September

Nike Inc. (Nike) gained marginally +0.50% and closed the session at $155.02 on 인트로듀싱 브로커 Tuesday. At the moment Nike is up 9.58% on a year to date basis and its 52 week range is between $111.74 and $174.38. Many analysts see some worries stacking up for Nike as the ongoing supply chain headwinds which are a result of the pandemic, could be following us well into the next year. Currently, Nike could be facing manufacturing disruptions in Vietnam with a new virus wave in the region, along with industry-wide supply-chain disruptions which together can possibly reduce output. Moreover, the company may also be affected by developments and challenging circumstances in the Chinese mainland as the Chinese government wants to reduce the power of the worldwide companies including the US ones. China is one of Nike’s most large and profitable communities, thus analysts are keeping their eyes firm on the possible impact of the government’s unpredictable actions. Please note Nike’s share could come under strong volatility upon the release of the report thus caution is advised.

기술적 분석


In its latest session on Tuesday Tesla’s share price had tested the (R1) 742.25 resistance but has failed to breach it, proving the level is valid and considerable by traders. Yet in case the price action is lifted higher, then the (R2) 749.20 level could be tested next. At the top the (R3) 759.30 line is the final resistance for this analysis as it was tested various times in August and September. The (R3) was not broken since April 2021 confirming it is a rigid level to be considered by traders. Yet in the previous days the stock had dropped to lower grounds where the (S1) 729.60 support was tested initially and later the (S2) 721.35 level came into play. These levels could be valid stops in the scenario of a downward momentum while at the base of the chart is the (S3) 712.95 hurdle which represents the lowest line reached so far in September. The RSI indicator remains just below 50 at the moment and in our opinion the bears are having the upper hand in the short term. However, the price action in 인트로듀싱 브로커 the past weeks has mostly been between the (R3) 759.30 resistance and the (S3) 712.95 support indicating a large sideways range which is used constantly. From our point of view, these levels could determine bullish or bearish tendencies if breached.

이 기사와 관련된 일반적인 질문이나 의견이 있으시면 저희 연구팀으로 인트로듀싱 브로커 직접 이메일을 보내주십시오 [email protected]

책임 고지:
본 자료는 투자 권유가 아니며 정보 전달의 목적이므로 참조만 하시기 바랍니다. IronFX는 본 자료 내에서 제 3자가 이용하거나 링크를 연결한 데이터 또는 정보에 대해 책임이 없습니다.

RBA’s interest rate decision and US political tensions in focus

The intense political polarisation in the US last week may have reached new highs with the debate on Tuesday. The overall climate seemed to weigh on the USD at the beginning of the week as the markets tended to be influenced by the political uncertainty. The current week closes with the news that US president Donald Trump has tested positive for Covid-19. In the coming week we expect, fundamentals to be on the forefront after the release of the US employment report for September, as financial releases in the coming week tend to be fewer in number and less impactful. Nevertheless, from Australia, RBA’s interest rate decision is eyed by investors as well as a number of speeches from central bank officials from around the world.

USD – Fundamentals in the forefront

Next week we expect USD to be influenced by fundamentals more heavily, rather than financial releases, given that high impact financial releases are expected to be fewer in number. Nevertheless, we would like to highlight, on Monday the release of the ISM non-manufacturing PMI for September. On Tuesday, we get the US trade balance for August, while on Thursday we highlight the weekly initial jobless claims figure. Having said that, we turn to the US political scene which is characterised by an intense polarisation.

ISM non-manufacturing PMI

The debate of the two candidates may have displayed exactly that, as Trump and Biden exchanged accusations and tended to engage to personal issues as well. We see no winner out of the debate, yet Trump seems to have failed to regain momentum at the current stage, as Biden seems to continue to lead in the polls. It should be noted that US stock futures tended to fall after the messy debate on Tuesday, yet quickly recovered losses made the following day. Furthermore, the wide uncertainty in the US political scene could weigh even more on the USD, as now President Trump has tested positive for the virus. The happening puts in jeopardy Donald Trump’s presidential election campaign as he is set to remain in quarantine and it could make it more difficult to cover for the lost ground, as polls have Biden leading the race currently. On a separate note, if the polarisation present in the US political scene have a negative effect and prevent the two parties from agreeing a possible Coronavirus relief bill the effect could magnify.
Negotiations between the speaker of the House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin have been ongoing since Tuesday. It was characteristic of the efforts made that Democrats unveiled a new bill of about US$2.2 trillion, far lower than their first position of US$3.4 trillion, in order to make the package more attractive to Republicans. On the other hand, Republicans including the White House and the Senate seem to be unwilling 인트로듀싱 브로커 to pass the threshold of US$1.5 trillion. It should be noted that pressure on Congress to deliver on a second fiscal stimulus package increases as the difficulties for the US economy have not been overcome yet. Any indications that the two sides could be nearing a deal, could provide substantial volatility for the markets and should be not be taken lightly by traders.

GBP – Brexit talks continue to move the pound

The pound seemed to maintain a rather sideways movement against the USD at the beginning of the week. The wide contraction suffered by the UK economy in the second quarter was practically confirmed on Wednesday, reaching almost -20% qoq. The UK has now officially entered a recession in Q2, given that the growth rate for Q1 was also negative. The national lockdown from the 23rd of March to mid May had a crippling effect on the economy and despite a rebound being evident in Q3, the situation remains worrisome.

UK manufacturing output MM

Its characteristic that the pandemic has once again a frim grip over the UK and worries for a slowdown of the economic recovery are increasing. BoE’s Governor Bailey in his statements on Tuesday mentiond that the recovery may not be as strong in the future, while also refused to exclude negative rates as a possible tool for the bank, once again. The situation gets even worse given the Brexit uncertainty. Negotiations between the two parties are still ongoing, yet the climate is tense and optimism seems to be cautious regarding the possibility of a deal. Distrust between the two parties seems to be high, especially after the UK Parliament approved the contreversial internal market bill on Wednesday, which contradicts parts of the treaty signed by the EU and the UK. Moreover,yesterday the EU announced it would be taking legal action against the UK for breaching their initial agreement on good faith.As the outcome is uncertain and the stakes in place are high for both, but especially for the UK, we expect volatility to increase for the pound. Any indications that the two sides are nearing a deal could support GBP and vice versa. Please note, UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson will meet European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on Saturday 3rd of October to discuss the current Brexit impasse. Caution is advised as any developments could reflected in the market on Monday’s opening. As for financial releases we highlight on Monday UK’s final services PMI for September, on Wednesday the Halifax House prices also for September and on Friday UK’s GDP rate for August, as well as the manufacturing output for the same month.

EUR – Deflationery tendencies fuel worries for recovery

Worries for the economic recovery of the Eurozone seem to be increasing. Among the main reasons is the persisting deflationary pressures. This was also confirmed today with the Eurozone’s HICP data moving lower. It’s characteristic that on Wednesday, ECB President Lagarde stated that low inflation poses fundamental challenges to the ECB at a conference in Frankfurt. The ECB president also stated that the bank has started a strategic review which has to take into account the new realities. We would not be surprised to see the bank allowing inflation to overshoot its target of “below, but close to 2%”, in a similar move to the one the Fed has adopted in the near past. For the time being Lagarde had warned European lawmakers that upcoming data could point to further deflation. As for growth the bank seems to expect GDP to recover to pre-crisis levels only in late 2022, implying a slow recovery and probably dependent on the path of the pandemic on the area. Hence fundamental issues like the pandemic which still troubles the continent substantially, could play a key role in the common currency’s direction next week.

Germany’s industrial orders growth rate and industrial output

As for financial releases next week we note, Eurozone’s final PMI readings for September, the more forward looking Sentix Index for October and the area’s retail sales for September on Monday. On Tuesday we get Germany’s industrial orders growth rate for August and on Wednesday its cousin indicator the industrial output for the same month. On Thursday we get Germany’s trade balance for August.

AUD – RBA’s interest rate decision eyed

Next week, the main event for Aussie traders seems to be the release of RBA’s interest rate decision on Tuesday. The bank is widely expected to remain on hold at +0.25% and currently AUD OIS imply a probability of 94.24% for such a scenario. Expectations for the bank to lower its rates at a record +0.10% seem to have been pushed for a later stage. Currently the market seems to be expecting such a cut for after the year end, with some analysts mentioning February as a possible date. Should the bank remain on hold at +0.25% as expected, we could see the market’s attention turning to the accompanying statement by Governor Lowe. Should the bank in its wording in some way rule out the possibility of negative rates, we could see the Aussie getting some support.

Canadian Employment report

On the other hand, the wide contraction suffered by the Australian economy and the deflationary pressures, may force the bank to adopt an accommodative tone which could weaken somewhat the Aussie. After the increase the size of term funding facility and lengthening the availability of the facility, liquidity may have increased substantially. Hence, we could see the bank maintaining an accommodative tone as mentioned before, yet at the same time maintain also a wait and see position for the current meeting. Also on the monetary front, we would highlight the release of the bank’s financial stability review on Friday. As for financial releases we highlight Australia’s trade balance for August on Tuesday, which may be overshadowed by RBA’s interest rate decision the same day. Also, from China we would note the Caixin Services PMI for September, albeit little reaction from the AUD is expected. On a separate note, on Friday, we get the Canadian Employment report. CAD traders should keep this event in mind as it could have significant market moving effects on the currency and caution is advised.
As a conclusion, many headlines within the media confirm that various governments around the world may be preparing for new stimulus packages. The headlines point to economic weakness within some sectors as the pandemic continues, possibly sending economies into recession. Some of these countries are Canada and Japan with the US already confirming that it requires further stimulus support. Signs of further stimulus required may have been implied by ECB’s Christine Lagarde also. Even though these packages could help support the economy by creating more jobs and lift economic activity, the need for them is sending indirect messages. Even though governments and central banks may be willing to go further into their pockets to support their economies, with this action they confirm that currently more economies are on the back foot than ever. In these difficult economic circumstances, assets with safe haven qualities like Gold and Silver may be considered a hedge instrument towards the uncertainty over the future. Finally, covid-19 cases continue to rise in many countries raising further concerns over new lockdown measures.

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위험 고지

마진으로 거래되는 모든 금융 상품은 높은 자본 위험을 수반합니다. 마진거래는 모든 투자자에게 적합한 방법이 아니며 초기 예치 자금보다 더 많은 손실이 발생할 수 있습니다. 거래와 관련된 모든 위험성을 완전하게 숙지하시고 필요한 경우 독자적인 조언을 구하십시오. 더 자세한 정보는 위험고지, 비즈니스 약관, 개인정보보호정책 전문을 확인하십시오.

당사는 쿠키를 사용하여 로그인과 같은 기능을 지원하고 신뢰할 수 있는 미디어 파트너가 집계된 사이트의 사용량을 분석하도록 허용합니다. 완전한 사이트 경험을 누리시려면 쿠키를 활성화 상태로 유지해주십시오. 쿠키가 활성화 된 상태에서 당사의 사이트를 탐색하면, 귀하는 쿠키 사용에 동의하게 됩니다. 당사의 쿠키 정보와 관련한 보다 자세한 세부 사항을 확인하십시오.

왜 ATFX인가?

ATFX의 우수한 고객 서비스와 다양한 수상 경력을 직접 확인할 수 있습니다. ATFX와 함께 여러분이 가질수 있는 모든 혜택들을 확인하시기 바랍니다 .

왜 ATFX와 트레이딩 해야 하나요?

ATFX가 지향하고 있는 가장 핵심적인 요소는 기술과 서비스입니다. 우리 ATFX의 우수한 서비스와 최신 IT 기술은 우리만의 성장이 아닌 고객 그리고 파트너와의 동반 성장을 목표로 하고 있습니다 .

ATFX의 성장은 투명하고 건전한 경영철학에서 시작되고 있으며 이를 초석으로 안전한 트레이딩 모델을 제공하고자 노력하고 있습니다. 최신 IT기술을 통해 거래의 안전성을 높이고 투자결정에 보다 주의를 기울이며 투자를 더욱더 확신할 수 있도록 수많은 정보를 제공합니다. 고객은 이를 통해 온라인 금융거래 를 보다 쉽고 빠르게 그리고 효율적으로 거래할 수 있습니다. 이것은 곧 고객과 우리의 성공을 다지는 초석이 되는 기회를 제공 받는 것과 같습니다.

자금 안전 및 보안

고객의 자금은 회사의 운영 자금과 별도의 은행 계좌에 분리되어 예치됩니다.

또한, 유럽지침과 ESMA(Europian Securities and Markets Authority)의 규제를 따르고 있습니다.

고객자금과 회사의 운영자금은 별도로 지정되어 운영 및 관리되고 있으며 채권자로부터 안전하게 보호를 받습니다. ATFX가 법정관리를 받거나 파산할 경유 고객의 자금은 안전하게 보호를 받습니다.

수상 경력 글로벌 브로커에서 안심하고 거래

ATFX는 다년간 수많은 상을을 수상하였습니다. 하지만 가장 인상깊게 생각되는 수상 부문은 고객서비스를 인정받는 것입니다. ATFX의 수상 내역 중 일부는 트레이딩 환경과 관련된 IT기술에 관련된 수상이며 대부분의 수상은 회사의 투명성과 고객 서비스 지원부문의 수상 내역들 입니다. 최고의 거래환경을 구축하는 것은 고객의 불만에서 시작되며 이를 해결하는 것이야말로 인트로듀싱 브로커 최고의 거래환경을 구축하는 밑거름이 됩니다.

ATFX Group은 유럽, 아시아, 중동, 남미 등 전 세계에서 다양한 수상경력을 보유하고 있습니다. 자세한 내용은 수상실적 페이지를 참고하시기 바랍니다.

단일 플랫폼에서 모든 거래상품 체결

메타트레이더 4 (MT4)의 사용자 설정기능은 거래에 매우 유용한 기능을 제공합니다. 전 세계적으로 인정받고 있는 이 거래 플랫폼은 수준 높은 기능성과 다양한 장점을 가지고 있습니다.

거래 플랫폼을 통해 언제 어디서든 다양한 시장에 빠르고 쉽게 접근할 수 있으며 모바일 앱을 통해 이동 중에도 거래할 수 있습니다.

MT4의 다양한 기능과 더울어 거래에 참고 또는 보조할 수 있는 다양한 거래도구들이 제공되고 있습니다. 이러한 거래도구들로는 Trading Central, Dowjones News, Autochartist 등이 있습니다.

저비용 고가치

ATFX에서 제공하는 스프레드는 업계 최저 인트로듀싱 브로커 수준입니다. 최저 스프레드를 제공은 고객의 니즈를 충족하고 더욱더 안전한 거래 환경을 만들겠다는 당사의 목표이기도 합니다. 아울러 거래에 따른 스프레드만 발생할 뿐 별도의 수수료를 징구하지 않습니다. 즉, 매수 호가와 매도 호가의 차액만 지불하시면 됩니다.

경쟁력 있는 스프레드

모든 FX/CFD 및 스프레드 베팅 상품에 대해 경쟁력 있는 스프레드를 이용할 수 있습니다.

계좌 유형은 여기를 참조하십시오.

계좌 개설

실거래 계좌 거래신청서을 작성합니다. 본인 확인절차가 완료되면 계좌개설이 완료됩니다.

계좌에 입금하기

직불 카드, 전자지갑 또는 은행 송금 등을 통해 입금하면 거래를 시작할 수 있습니다.

거래 시작

PC, 안드로이드, iPad, iPhone 등의 모든 기기 또는 웹 브라우저를 통해 거래할 수 있습니다.

모의투자 계정 생성하기

활동계정 생성하기

거래 방식

여러 거래상품을 CFD(차액거래약정)로 매매할 수 있고 영국 거주민이라면 스프레드 베팅도 가능합니다. 계좌 유형에 따라서는 언제 어디서든 효율적으로 거래할 수 있도록 무료 VPS(가상사설서버) 서비스가 제공됩니다.

거래 방식

여러 거래상품을 CFD(차액거래약정)로 매매할 수 있고 영국 거주민이라면 스프레드 베팅도 가능합니다. 계좌 유형에 따라서는 언제 어디서든 효율적으로 거래할 수 있도록 무료 VPS(가상사설서버) 서비스가 제공됩니다.

우수한 고객 지원서비스

당사의 고객 서비스팀은 고객님의 거래지원을 위해서 항상 대기중에 있습니다. 업계 최고 수준의 고객 서비스를 경험해보세요.

ATFX의 고속 성장은 "고객 제일주의"에서 비롯되었습니다. 이는 빠르게 변화하는 시장에서 서비스의 질과 속도가 매우 중요한 요소로 작용하게 되었습니다. ATFX의 온라인 채팅, 이메일, 전화 서비스 등을 통해 업계 최고 수준의 서비스를 경험할 수 있습니다.

전문 애널리스트가 제공하는 학습 기회

다양한 수상경력의 애널리스트 팀은 매일 시장의 주요 이슈와 이벤트 등에 대한 리뷰를 제공하고 있습니다.

ATFX는 연간 1,000회 이상의 세미나, 웨비나 및 실시간 스트림 방송을 진행하고 있습니다. 그 외에도 ATFX의 주요 애널리스트가 진행하는 무료 트레이딩 워크숍도 경험하실 수 있습니다.

ATFX의 트레이딩 아카데미는 초보부터 전문 트레이더까지 이용이 가능하도록 마련되었습니다. 당사의 아카데미를 통해 보다 다양하고 안전한 거래기회를 확인할 수 있습니다. 또한, 지속적인 교육자료의 업데이트를 통해 양질의 교육자료를 확인할 수 있습니다.

계좌 매니저와 관계 맺기

ATFX는 고객을 최우선으로 생각합니다. 직원은 언제, 어디에서든 언행을 조심하고 항상 예의를 갖추고자 노력하고 있습니다. 또한 고객의 소리에 귀기울이고자 합니다. 대면, 전화 또는 온라인을 통해 맺어진 관계일지라도 매순간 신뢰를 바탕으로 관계를 맺고 있습니다.

고객 전담 매니저를 지정하는 것은 고객의 소리를 가까이에서 듣고자하는 우리의 의지입니다. 고객별 투자성향 및 투자의 목적을 이해하는 것에서부터가 고객 서비스의 시작이라고 생각합니다. 이러한 관계는 상호간 신뢰성을 높이고 장기적으로 발전 가능한 계기가 됩니다.

1:1 트레이딩 코칭

본인의 투자성향 및 투자 목적에 맞는 트레이딩 교육을 제공합니다. 1:1 코칭수업의 주요 목적은 자신감 회복에 있습니다. ATFX의 수석 애널리스트가 전문 코칭팀과 함께하고 있습니다.

매매가 어려운 이유는 혼자만의 싸움이기 때문입니다. 하지만 ATFX의 트레이딩 코칭을 이용하면 거래에 관련하 교육은 물론 위험관리 방법을 배울 수 있습니다. 언제든지 상담할 수 있습니다.

관련 컨텐츠

법률: AT Global Markets (UK) Limited는 영국에서 FCA(Financial Conduct Authority)의 인허가와 규제를 받고 있습니다. FCA 등록 번호 (760555). 등록 사무소: 1st Floor, 32 Cornhill, London EC3V 3SG, United Kingdom. 회사 번호 09827091

스프레드 베팅과 CFD는 복잡한 구조의 금융상품으로 레버리지로 인해 손실이 급속히 커질 위험이 많습니다. 본 업체에서 CFD / 스프레드 베팅 상품을 거래하는 소매 투자자 계좌 중 54.76%가 손실을 보고 있습니다. 본인이 CFD /스프레드 베팅 상품을 인트로듀싱 브로커 제대로 이해하고 있는지, 그리고 높은 손실 위험을 감당할 수 있는지 고려해야 합니다. 비즈니스 약관(Terms of Business) 42-45 페이지에 나와 있는 위험고지 전문을 읽어 보도록 하십시오.

스페인에서 서비스 상업화 및 고객 인수는 허가 받은 법인 또는 대행 업체를 통해서만 수행할 수 있습니다.

이 사이트의 정보는 미국, 벨기에 또는 영국 이외의 특정 국가의 거주자를 대상으로 하지 않으며 그러한 배포 또는 사용이 현지 법률 또는 규정에 위배되는 국가 또는 관할권에 있는 어떤 사람에게도 배포하거나 사용할 수 없습니다.

ATFX와 브랜드를 공유하는 그룹 법인은 다음과 같습니다.

AT Global Markets (UK) Ltd는 영국에서 FCA(Financial Conduct Authority)의 인허가와 규제를 받고 있습니다(등록 번호: 760555). 등록 사무소: 1st Floor, 32 Cornhill, London EC3V 3SG, United Kingdom.

ATFX Global Markets (CY) Ltd는 CySEC(Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission)의 인허가와 규제를 받고 있습니다(라이선스 번호: 285/15). 등록 사무소: 159 Leontiou A' Street, Maryvonne Building Office 204, 3022, Limassol, Cyprus.

AT Global Markets Intl Ltd는 FSC(Financial Services Commission)의 인허가와 규제를 받고 있습니다(라이선스 번호: C118023331). 등록 사무소: G08, Ground Floor, The Catalyst, Silicon Avenue, 40 Cybercity, 72201 Ebène, Republic of Mauritius.

AT Global Markets LLC는 세인트빈센트 그레나딘에 등록된 유한책임회사(LLC)입니다(회사 번호: 333 LLC 2020). 등록 사무소: 1st Floor, First St. Vincent Bank Bldg, James Street, Kingstown, St. Vincent and the Grenadines.

USD continues to strengthen supported by high yields

The USD tended to gain against a number of its counterparts yesterday and its characteristic that it reached a 20 year high against the JPY, supported by high yields but also the market’s hawkish expectations for a tightening of 인트로듀싱 브로커 the Fed’s monetary policy. It was characteristic that St. Louis Fed President Bullard was reported stating that inflation is “far too high” and repeated the idea of the Fed raising its interest rate to 3.5% by year’s end while he also supported the idea of the Fed starting to reduce its balance sheet at its next meeting. Both comments could be deemed as very hawkish and may have intensified the market’s expectations while today on the monetary front we note the planned statement of Chicago Fed President Evans. As for financial releases from the US we note the release of the construction data for March. On the other hand, we must note that US stockmarkets were on the rise yesterday as all three main equities indexes gained somewhat, possibly as the earnings season may have started to excite traders.

It’s expected as a number of releases could catch traders’ attention and for today, we note among others the earnings releases of Johnson and Johnson (#JNJ), Netflix (#NFLX), IBM (#IBM) and Lockheed Martin. Overall, should the releases be better than expected and excite traders we may see the value of their shares rising and vice versa, yet we must note that the earnings season may alter the market’s mood in a more general sense depending on how positive the picture of the stockmarkets actually is. As for gold we must note that its price had some gains yesterday before starting to correct lower and we may see the strengthening of the USD and a possible further rise of US yields weighing on the noninterest bearing precious metal. On the commodities front, we note that WTI’s price remained rather steady yesterday, yet edged higher during today’s Asian session as supply worries were on the rise once again.

Reuters reported that Libya declared a force majeure on 인트로듀싱 브로커 some of its output and exports as political unrest forced the closure of some of its oil producing facilities in the eastern part of the country. On the demand side Shanghai is preparing to reopen, which would be a positive for the global oil demand levels, yet the overall Chinese policy of intense lockdowns may alter the situation very fast. Today we note for oil traders the release of the weekly API crude oil inventories figure and should the indicator’s reading show another substantial ballooning of reserves we may see oil bulls starting to hesitate. As a closing we would like to make a final comment for JPY’s weakening. JPY has been weakening as a result also of BoJ’s persistence to defend its ultra-loose monetary policy. Given BoJ Governor Kuroda’s comments yesterday, we note the unwillingness of the bank to alter its policy and thus we maintain our worries for a possible intervention of the bank in the markets in an effort to defend JPY.

USD/JPY continued to rise yesterday, breaking the 126.75 (S2) and the 127.70 (S1) resistance lines, both now turned to support. We tend to maintain a bullish outlook for the pair as long as it remains above the upward trendline incepted since the 31 st of March. Please note that the pair has reached a multiyear high level. On the other hand, we must note that the RSI indicator below our 4-hour chart, has surpassed the reading of 70 in a sign that the pair may have reached overbought levels and may be ripe for a correction lower. Should the bulls maintain control over the pair we may see it breaking the 128.70 (R1) resistance line and aim for the 129.85 (R2) resistance level. Should the bears say enough is enough and take over, we may see the pair reversing course break the 127.70 (S1) support line and the 126.75 (S2) support level in search of lower grounds.

S&P 500 rose yesterday breaking the 4400 (S1) resistance line, now turned to support. Nevertheless we maintain our bearish outlook as long as the index’s price action remains below the downward trendline incepted since the 30 of March. Should bears actually maintain control over the index, we expect S&P 500 to break the 4400 (S1) support line and take aim of the 4330 (S2) support level. On the other hand should the bulls take over, we would expect the index to break the prementioned downward trendline in a first sign of a trend reversal, breach the 4455 (R1) resistance level and aim for higher grounds.

금일 경제뉴스 및 전망

Besides the US construction data for March, we also get Canada’s number of House Starts, also for March, at the same time, while 인트로듀싱 브로커 during tomorrow’s Asian session we note the release of Japan’s trade data for March as well.

USD/JPY 4시간 차트

support at one hundred twenty seven point seven and resistance at one hundred twenty eight point seven, direction upwards

Support: 127.70 (S1), 126.75 (S2), 1125.75 (S3)

Resistance: 128.70 (R1), 129.85 (R2), 131.00 (R3)

US 500 Cash H4 Chart

support at four thousand four hundred and resistance at four thousand four hundred and fifty five, direction downwards

Support: 4400 (S1), 4330 (S2), 4270 (S3)

Resistance: 4455 (R1), 4535 (R2), 4990 (R3)

이 기사와 관련된 일반적인 질문이나 의견이 있으시면 저희 연구팀으로 직접 이메일을 보내주십시오 [email protected]

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